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m-ric 
posted an update 29 days ago
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4822
"𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗯𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘆𝗲𝗮𝗿 𝗼𝗳 𝗔𝗜 𝗮𝗴𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘀": this statement has often been made, here are numbers to support it.

I've plotted the progress of AI agents on GAIA test set, and it seems they're headed to catch up with the human baseline in early 2026.

And that progress is still driven mostly by the improvement of base LLMs: progress would be even faster with fine-tuned agentic models.
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